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प्रश्न
The following figures relates to the profits of a commercial concern for 8 years
| Year | Profit (₹) |
| 1986 | 15,420 |
| 1987 | 15,470 |
| 1988 | 15,520 |
| 1989 | 21,020 |
| 1990 | 26,500 |
| 1991 | 31,950 |
| 1992 | 35,600 |
| 1993 | 34,900 |
Find the trend of profits by the method of three yearly moving averages
उत्तर
Computation of three-yearly moving averages
| Year | Profit (₹) | 3-Yearly Moving Total |
3-Yearly Moving Average |
| 1986 | 15420 | - | - |
| 1987 | 15470 | 46410 | 15470 |
| 1988 | 15520 | 5010 | 17336.666 |
| 1989 | 21020 | 63040 | 21013.333 |
| 1990 | 26500 | 79470 | 26490 |
| 1991 | 31950 | 94050 | 31350 |
| 1992 | 35600 | 102450 | 34150 |
| 1993 | 34900 | - | - |
The last column gives the trend of profits.
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संबंधित प्रश्न
Write a brief note on seasonal variations
Explain cyclic variations
Compute the average seasonal movement for the following series
| Year | Quarterly Production | |||
| I | II | III | IV | |
| 2002 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| 2203 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 3. | 4.1 |
| 2004 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 37 | 4.2 |
| 2005 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3 | 4.4 |
| 2006 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.6 |
The following table gives the number of small-scale units registered with the Directorate of Industries between 1985 and 1991. Show the growth on a trend line by the free hand method.
| Year | No. of units (in '000) |
| 195 | 10 |
| 986 | 22 |
| 1987 | 36 |
| 198 | 62 |
| 1989 | 55 |
| 1990 | 0 |
| 1991 | 34 |
| 1992 | 50 |
Calculate the seasonal indices from the following data using the average method:
| Year | I Quarter | II Quarter | III Quarter | IV Quarter |
| 2008 | 72 | 68 | 62 | 76 |
| 2009 | 78 | 74 | 78 | 72 |
| 2010 | 74 | 70 | 72 | 76 |
| 2011 | 76 | 74 | 74 | 72 |
| 2012 | 72 | 72 | 76 | 68 |
The following table shows the number of salesmen working for a certain concern:
| Year | 1992 | 1993 | 1994 | 1995 | 1996 |
| No. of salesman |
46 | 48 | 42 | 56 | 52 |
Use the method of least squares to fit a straight line and estimate the number of salesmen in 1997
Choose the correct alternative:
The components of a time series which is attached to short term fluctuation is
Choose the correct alternative:
The seasonal variation means the variations occurring with in
Using three yearly moving averages, Determine the trend values from the following data.
| Year | Profit | Year | Profit |
| 2001 | 142 | 2007 | 241 |
| 2002 | 148 | 2008 | 263 |
| 2003 | 154 | 2009 | 280 |
| 2004 | 146 | 2010 | 302 |
| 2005 | 157 | 2011 | 326 |
| 2006 | 202 | 2012 | 353 |
The sum of the series 3.6 + 4.7 + 5.8 + ....... upto (n – 2) terms
