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प्रश्न
Following are the population of a district
Year (x) | 1881 | 1891 | 1901 | 1911 | 1921 | 1931 |
Population (y) Thousands |
363 | 391 | 421 | - | 467 | 501 |
Find the population of the year 1911
उत्तर
Since only five values of fix) are given, the polynomial which fits the data is of degree four.
Hence fifth differences are zeros.
i.e. Δ5y0 = 0
(E – 1)5y0 = 0
(E5 – 5E4 + 10E3 – 10E2 + 5E – 1)y0 = 0
E5y0 – 5E4y0 + 10E3y0 – 10E2y0 + 5Ey0 – y0 = 0
y5 – 5y4 + 10y3 – 10y2 + 5y1 – y0 = 0
501 – 5(467) + 10(y3) – 10(421) + 5(391) – 363 = 0
2456 – 6908 + 10y3 = 0
– 4452 + 10y3 = 0
⇒ 10y3 = 4452
y = `4452/10` = 445.2
The population of the year 1911 is 445.2 thousands
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