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प्रश्न
Discuss about irregular variation
उत्तर
Irregular Variations: These variations do not have a particular pattern and there is no regular period of time of their occurrences.
These are accidental changes that are purely random or unpredictable.
Normally they are short-term variations, but their occurrence sometimes has its effect so intense that they may give rise to new cyclic or other movements of variations.
For example floods, wars, earthquakes, Tsunami, strikes, lockouts, etc
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संबंधित प्रश्न
What is the need for studying time series?
Mention the components of the time series
Define seasonal index
State the two normal equations used in fitting a straight line
The following figures relates to the profits of a commercial concern for 8 years
| Year | Profit (₹) |
| 1986 | 15,420 |
| 1987 | 15,470 |
| 1988 | 15,520 |
| 1989 | 21,020 |
| 1990 | 26,500 |
| 1991 | 31,950 |
| 1992 | 35,600 |
| 1993 | 34,900 |
Find the trend of profits by the method of three yearly moving averages
Find the trend of production by the method of a five-yearly period of moving average for the following data:
| Year | Production ('000) |
| 1979 | 126 |
| 1980 | 123 |
| 1981 | 117 |
| 1982 | 128 |
| 1983 | 125 |
| 1984 | 124 |
| 1985 | 130 |
| 1986 | 114 |
| 1987 | 122 |
| 1988 | 129 |
| 1989 | 118 |
| 1990 | 123 |
The annual production of a commodity is given as follows:
| Year | production (in tones) |
| 1995 | 155 |
| 1996 | 162 |
| 1997 | 171 |
| 19988 | 182 |
| 1999 | 158 |
| 2000 | 880 |
| 2001 | 178 |
Fit a straight line trend by the method of least squares
Choose the correct alternative:
The component of a time series attached to long term variation is trended as
The sum of the infinite series `x + (1 + 2)/(2!) x^2 + (1 + 2 + 3)/(3!) x^3 +` .... equals
Sum of n terms of series 1.3 + 3.5 + 5.7 + ______ is
