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प्रश्न
Define secular trend
उत्तर
It is a general tendency of time series to increase or decrease or stagnates during a long period of time, an upward tendency is usually observed in population of a country, production, sales, prices in industries, income or individuals etc.
A downward tendency is observed in deaths, epidemics, prices of electronic gadgets, water sources, mortality rate etc.
It is not necessarily that the increase or decrease should be in the same direction throughout the given period of time.
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संबंधित प्रश्न
Write a brief note on seasonal variations
Explain the method of fitting a straight line
State the two normal equations used in fitting a straight line
State the different methods of measuring trend
Calculate the seasonal indices from the following data using the average method:
Year | I Quarter | II Quarter | III Quarter | IV Quarter |
2008 | 72 | 68 | 62 | 76 |
2009 | 78 | 74 | 78 | 72 |
2010 | 74 | 70 | 72 | 76 |
2011 | 76 | 74 | 74 | 72 |
2012 | 72 | 72 | 76 | 68 |
The following table shows the number of salesmen working for a certain concern:
Year | 1992 | 1993 | 1994 | 1995 | 1996 |
No. of salesman |
46 | 48 | 42 | 56 | 52 |
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