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An Unbiased Coin is Tossed. If the Result is a Head, a Pair of Unbiased Dice is Rolled and the Sum of the Numbers Obtained is Noted. What is the Probability that the Noted Number is Either 7 Or 8? - Mathematics

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प्रश्न

An unbiased coin is tossed. If the result is a head, a pair of unbiased dice is rolled and the sum of the numbers obtained is noted. If the result is a tail, a card from a well shuffled pack of eleven cards numbered 2, 3, 4, ..., 12 is picked and the number on the card is noted. What is the probability that the noted number is either 7 or 8?

उत्तर

Let E1E2 and A be the events as defined below:
E1 = The coin shows a head
E2 = The coin shows a head
A = The noted number is 7 or 8

\[\therefore P\left( E_1 \right) = \frac{1}{2} \]

\[ P\left( E_2 \right) = \frac{1}{2}\]

\[\text{ Now } , \]

\[P\left( A/ E_1 \right) = \frac{11}{36}\]

\[P\left( A/ E_2 \right) = \frac{2}{11}\]

\[\text{ Using the law of total probability, we get } \]

\[\text{ Required probability } = P\left( A \right) = P\left( E_1 \right)P\left( A/ E_1 \right) + P\left( E_2 \right)P\left( A/ E_2 \right)\]

\[ = \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{11}{36} + \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{2}{11}\]

\[ = \frac{11}{72} + \frac{1}{11}\]

\[ = \frac{121 + 72}{792} = \frac{193}{792}\]

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Probability Examples and Solutions
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पाठ 31: Probability - Exercise 31.6 [पृष्ठ ८१]

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आरडी शर्मा Mathematics [English] Class 12
पाठ 31 Probability
Exercise 31.6 | Q 6 | पृष्ठ ८१

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